Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 1.443406e-03 0.001607 0.001771 0.001946 0.002128 0.002310 0.002507
2025-10-05 1.192182e-03 0.001431 0.001676 0.001944 0.002227 0.002517 0.002835
2025-10-12 1.000542e-03 0.001295 0.001606 0.001953 0.002327 0.002715 0.003145
2025-10-19 8.222786e-04 0.001158 0.001521 0.001936 0.002389 0.002865 0.003399
2025-10-26 6.715698e-04 0.001037 0.001444 0.001917 0.002443 0.003002 0.003633
2025-11-02 5.434567e-04 0.000929 0.001373 0.001899 0.002492 0.003127 0.003851
2025-11-09 4.396408e-04 0.000840 0.001316 0.001890 0.002546 0.003255 0.004068
2025-11-16 3.554313e-04 0.000767 0.001270 0.001891 0.002606 0.003386 0.004285
2025-11-23 2.841864e-04 0.000701 0.001230 0.001893 0.002665 0.003513 0.004495
2025-11-30 2.502216e-04 0.000683 0.001246 0.001958 0.002794 0.003716 0.004787
2025-12-07 1.922595e-04 0.000623 0.001204 0.001952 0.002839 0.003823 0.004971
2025-12-14 1.367812e-04 0.000557 0.001150 0.001929 0.002862 0.003902 0.005123
2025-12-21 9.297753e-05 0.000512 0.001137 0.001973 0.002984 0.004120 0.005457
2025-12-28 4.716796e-05 0.000447 0.001093 0.001978 0.003063 0.004290 0.005741
2026-01-04 1.658178e-05 0.000391 0.001057 0.001993 0.003152 0.004472 0.006040
2026-01-11 4.439438e-10 0.000326 0.001001 0.001978 0.003204 0.004611 0.006290
2026-01-18 NaN 0.000267 0.000947 0.001962 0.003253 0.004744 0.006532
2026-01-25 NaN 0.000214 0.000894 0.001945 0.003298 0.004871 0.006765
2026-02-01 NaN 0.000171 0.000851 0.001937 0.003352 0.005007 0.007008
2026-02-08 NaN 0.000136 0.000816 0.001938 0.003415 0.005153 0.007260
2026-02-15 NaN 0.000105 0.000784 0.001940 0.003479 0.005298 0.007510
2026-02-22 NaN 0.000097 0.000798 0.002006 0.003622 0.005535 0.007864
2026-03-01 NaN 0.000071 0.000763 0.002001 0.003673 0.005662 0.008092